Profile for *i
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Displayed name | *i |
| Member number | 6 |
| Title | The Establishment |
| Postcount | 3726 |
| Homepage | |
| Registered | Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
Recent posts
Pages
| Author | Recent posts |
|---|---|
| Suggestions for G4 creations in Geneforge Series | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Sunday, August 21 2005 16:44
Profile
Where does it say the boat creature was a Dryak? I believe the creature was just another type of creature. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Scenarios in Blades of Avernum | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Tuesday, August 9 2005 11:21
Profile
If players do not play with the type of party you intend, it is only that player's loss. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Mind Crystals, Don't Exist in BoA ??? Please Help in Blades of Avernum | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Sunday, August 7 2005 08:49
Profile
The only way to get Mind Crystals is to make them using the scenario editor. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Wheel of Time in Blades of Avernum | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Saturday, August 6 2005 20:03
Profile
My advice to aspiring scenario designers is to start out small. Those who do not will end up with something like Spy's Quest for BoE. The reason: As you design and gain experience, your skills continuously improve, and quite rapidly such that the things later on are so much better than the beginning that it makes it look laughable. The unfortunate fact is that no one will see the better parts later on because of the amateur parts at the beginning. So start out small and get some experience in creating a beginning, middle, and end. Also, there is much to be said about experience of releasing and supporting a scenario. As far as asking people to script and do your work for you, I will say that such attempts are rather historically unsuccessful. Taking on scenario design is challenging, thankless work. We are more than happy to help with specific questions, however. I wish you best of luck. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Human cloning in General | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Saturday, August 6 2005 04:59
Profile
The cloning issue is an interesting one as it appears that the environment has a significant effect on the development of a living being. Subtle things like temperature, atmospheric conditions, chemical compounds, background radiation levels, and all sorts of things have a fairly dramatic effect on the development of a being, human or otherwise. With that in mind, pure "cloning" to make an exact replica is idealistic and probably impractical. Although the person would genetically identical, there would be a lot of subtle and not so subtle differences. Even identical twins exhibit subtle differences even though they developed in very similar environments. I suspect having two identical twins in completely different environments would yield different results. As far as organ harvesting from clones, that is an artifact of cinema fantasy. There is no reason to do such a thing if we could simply take the simpler route of cloning an organ. Such an entity does not have feelings nor any conscious attributes of sentience. In other words, there would be nothing immoral about creating organs. As far as overpopulation, sexual reproduction is doing a fine job of it. I doubt that any cloning effort in the near future would displace the influx of new people via the "natural" way. The sheer resources of doing so would be staggering. Then comes the issue of why we should clone. Well, the only real reason is for improved genetic selectivity. There is the potential that many diseases could be eradicated by eliminating them from the gene pool. Of course there needs to be limits, having everyone be genetically near identical would be very bad from a sexual reproduction stand point. In terms of improving intellectual and physical abilities, that would be fine as I can see a net benefit to our species. The world is full of problems and hardly a fragment of the brain power to deal with them exists. Of course, these are uncharted waters and great care will need to be exercised. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power!! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| A quick question borne out of inexperience... in Tech Support | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Thursday, August 4 2005 12:35
Profile
Is this an Exile or Avernum question? You should ask in the appropriate trilogy forum. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Death to Anama!!! in The Avernum Trilogy | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Thursday, August 4 2005 12:34
Profile
Totally the wrong forum for this. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Death to Anama!!! in Blades of Avernum | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Thursday, August 4 2005 12:34
Profile
Totally the wrong forum for this. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Artifacts Hall Update in Blades of Avernum | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Friday, July 29 2005 18:21
Profile
Read all about it: http://p080.ezboard.com/fthelyceumfrm5.showMessage?topicID=297.topic -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| A Waste of Time? in General | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Thursday, July 21 2005 15:38
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quote:Well don't you feel special. Brag some more, please. j/k :) :) :) -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power!! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Regrettable But in General | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Sunday, July 17 2005 15:56
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I agree with the sentiments above. There are plenty of appropriate outlets to express such feelings. The company message board, which has to remain inclusive and appropriate for a general audience including young minors, is not the proper place for this. As I see it, TM was on "last warning" status after his previous ban was removed. If the rules are not enforced on him, then the administration gets accusations of uneven application of the rules. If we do, then we get the current argument. Either way, there is no one perfect path. For the record, none of the admins are actually Spiderweb employees. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power!! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Regrettable But in General | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Sunday, July 17 2005 14:53
Profile
quote:First of all, it was not Drakey who applied the ban, it was me. TM has been warned repeatedly about his behavior and his conduct was totally unacceptable; the action taken was acceptable and agreed upon by the other admins. Now, spy.there, please play nice and refrain from obscene accusations. They are not helping your status as a member here. Thanks for your cooperation. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power!! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Missing... in Blades of Avernum Editor | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Saturday, July 16 2005 18:23
Profile
This is exactly what I had in mind for the Nexus in Emulations. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Missing... in Blades of Avernum | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Saturday, July 16 2005 18:23
Profile
This is exactly what I had in mind for the Nexus in Emulations. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Regrettable But in General | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Saturday, July 16 2005 14:39
Profile
Just a friendly note: keep our tempers down. I really don't want to close down any election topics. Thanks for your cooperation. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power!! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Help in perfect forest in Blades of Avernum | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Saturday, July 2 2005 16:26
Profile
The puzzle is designed such that the player has to act quickly and be budget moves carefully. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Help in perfect forest in Blades of Avernum | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Saturday, July 2 2005 12:41
Profile
Try searching the machine first. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| ANNOUNCEMENT in General | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Thursday, June 30 2005 12:27
Profile
I apologize for the recent flurry of disgusting posts. The matter has been dealt with to the best of my ability. I have banned the account, e-mail address, and IP. I made the IP ban somewhat broad, so let me know if anyone has any problems. Also, please let me know ASAP if the member returns. Thank you for your patience. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power!! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Two envelopes paradox in General | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Thursday, June 23 2005 18:52
Profile
If we have even more rigor to the problem as suggested. Suppose we have a multiplicative factor n. This determines how many times more money we could make. We pick an envelope with an amount k. The other envelope either has: k/n or nk inside of it. Note: in our previous example n was equal to 2. Now we can let this be arbitrary. If we do the same analysis as before, we get that the breakeven value of p is: p = 1/(1+n) So for n = 10, we should pick the other envelope if the probability of making money (p) is greater than 1/11 or about 9 percent. [ Thursday, June 23, 2005 18:53: Message edited by: *i ] -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power!! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Two envelopes paradox in General | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Thursday, June 23 2005 18:31
Profile
What it basically says is that if your probability of making money is greater than 33.3%, then you should choose the other envelope. If it is less (say 10% in your example), then you should keep what you have. This assumes that we know p for every value of k, of course, which in and of itself would be very difficult to measure. To do this with complete rigor we would need to know p(k) and use that in there. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power!! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Two envelopes paradox in General | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Thursday, June 23 2005 18:22
Profile
Yes, you do need to factor in the underlying distribution. A equal distribution everywhere is impossible because the integral over the range of the distribution must be 1. The integral over a constant to infinity 'blows up' and cannot be 1. Suppose we have a variable distribution. The probability of making money for a given value k is p, the probability of losing money for a given value k is 1-p. The breakeven value of p would be where the difference in the two options is zero. Option 1: Keep the envelope. Get k. Option 2: Trade in the envelope. Has a probability of: (1-p)(k/2) + p(2k) The net gain (equal to zero) is: (1-p)(k/2) + p(2k) - k = 0 (1-p)(1/2) + 2p - 1 = 0 1/2 - p/2 + 2p - 1 = 0 (3/2)p = 1/2 p = 1/3 So if the probability of making money is greater than 1/3, you should pick the other envelope. If the probability if less than or equal to, you should stay with what you have. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power!! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Two envelopes paradox in General | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Thursday, June 23 2005 16:19
Profile
quote:Yes, I believe that is exactly what Zeviz is saying. You are always, statistically speaking, "losing" if you keep the original envelope. This is how game theory and risk analysis work, valid sciences used in finance and industry today. Let's assume for the argument that the game show value of k is expected and could go either way with equal probability. All other factors that could be concocted average out such that there is an equal probablility of being higher or lower. With this, if you did the envelope experiment an infinite number of times and selected the other envelope, you would come out k/4 dollars ahead on average for each selection. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power!! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Nephilim mystery beta in Blades of Avernum | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Tuesday, June 21 2005 15:29
Profile
quote:Once again, valleys in the world of Avernum are the most dangerous places to live. Why does anyone bother anymore? :) -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| A Perfect Forest??? in Blades of Avernum | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Sunday, June 5 2005 06:02
Profile
The key with the Perfect Spirit is that you have to go as fast as you can. You cannot pull the mirrors, I'm not sure where you are having trouble, care to give some coordinates? -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |
| Why do you like BoE but not BoA? in Blades of Exile | |
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The Establishment
Member # 6
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written Thursday, June 2 2005 14:20
Profile
This is neither the time nor place for such discussions. As far as universal enforcement, I hate to say this, but I am unable to read every single post on this board. I largely skim the topics for things that are blatantly offensive and out of total context. fatman -- This is your final warning. Discussions on this board are to be related to BoE, not discussions of board policy. Feel free to carry said discussions on the General board. -------------------- Your flower power is no match for my glower power! Posts: 3726 | Registered: Tuesday, September 18 2001 07:00 |