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Displayed name	moonear
Member number	5410
Title	Infiltrator
Postcount	687
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Registered	Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00

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Yom HaShoa in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Monday, May 8 2006 05:39 Profile #81 quote: Do you have to take a course to get this ignorant? No, you have to take a course to be as ignorant as you are in facilely accept history as you did in your post. Never have I read such a simplistic interpretation of the events of WWII. Even the most basic of history texts can clearly outline the emnity that existed between Germany and Russia, and it was fairly obvious that the two weren't allies, merely temporarily co-operating to feed each others naked aggression. You will see that history clearly outlines Stalin's nervousness with Germany, that he initially sought an alliance with the allies and was rebuffed and that he chose the Nazi-Soviet pact as a way to buy time as he was grossly unprepared to wage war with Germany (see http://www.spartacus.schoolnet.co.uk/RUSnazipact.htm for a decent summary of this part of history). Even the most basic of economic analysis will show that Germany was a mid-level power with poor resources to survive a sustained war. At the start of WWII France's military was close to the strength of Germany and it was not at all clear that Germany was a freakin titan. Germany's own top generals advocated AGAINST the war, not yet feeling properly prepared or confident of winning. Military: In 1939 the French Army had 900,000 regular soldiers. However, it had another 5 million men who had been trained and could be called-up in time of war. In 1939 the German Army had 98 divisions available for the invasion of Poland. Although some were ill-equipped veteran reservists, they still had 1.5 million well-trained men available for action. When the German Army mounted its Western Offensive in 1940, it had had 2.5 million men and 2,500 tanks. So, in 1939 the allies actually stood a much better chance than in 1940. Waiting cost the allies significantly (for instance, France lost). You may argue that the German army was much more mobile, but in 1939, not yet - it wasn't really until 1940 that Germany got mobility on a scale large enough to support the war effort against France. Get some literacy, read some history, do some proper military analysis. (some facts from http://www.spartacus.schoolnet.co.uk/2WW.htm) Edit: Oh, and with respect to Germany being a freakin titan, lets not limit this to 1939/1940 state of military preparedness. Lets look at what the allies didn't do that allowed this to occur - the Treaty of Versailles limited Germany to a 100,000 man army and NO military aircraft. But by 1935, Germany was openly flouting this treaty, and in fact had been circumventing it for many years. No enforcement of this treaty led to Germany's increasing military strength so yes the allies had a lot to do to prevent WW 2. With respect to Poland, throughout the first two and half weeks of September 1939 (first part of the invasion), Germany threw its entire air force, all of panzer forces, and all of its frontline infantry and artillery against Poland. Its border with France was held by a relatively thin force of second and third string divisions. The French army had overwhelming superiority in men, tanks, aircraft, and artillery. A concerted push into western Germany would have been a disaster for Hitler. German losses in Poland included 230 of its 3200 aircraft and 674 of its 2500 tanks. Also, if you look at actual numbers of tanks, men and front line aircraft available to the allies in 1939, the allies actually had the advantage and this increased due to losses from the Polish invasion. Germany reversed much of this by 1940 (especially and most importantly in the Luftwaffe). [ Monday, May 08, 2006 07:24: Message edited by: Strontium ] -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
NBA Playoffs in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Thursday, May 4 2006 05:05 Profile #21 I quote: The problem that I have with the NBA is that there are no real "teams" anymore. The prevailing strategy is to hand the pro the ball and he will score. There's little full team interaction anymore. Uh, the Spurs, The Pistons, The Suns - three of the best TEAMS in b-ball, also with three of the best RECORDS in b-ball. by VCH quote: NB what? Perhaps you mean the NHL playoffs, which are of course superior to the NBA or MLB. I mean please non-contact sports pfff. You watch b-ball? You play b-ball? It is a contact sport (check the Pistons for proof). Hockey, yes - superior to Skribbane. -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687* \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Games in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Wednesday, May 3 2006 11:08 Profile #21 The argument for abandonware is that the game is no longer being commercially marketed, (legitimate consumers are being thwarted) and the companies which have abandoned the games show no signs of ever reviving the franchise, supporting current or future users or protecting their investment. So, abandonwaree is technically illegal but morally not. Not a distinction that keeps you on the right side of the law but eh? who's going to go after you? Apparently the site I suggested will go so far as to remove games from their site if requested to do so by the manufacturer/copyright owner etc. Still, questionable? As far as the freeware/shareware side of the site, no moral/legal issues here. Hey, they even show up in Wikipedia: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Home_of_the_Underdogs [ Wednesday, May 03, 2006 11:12: Message edited by: Strontium ] -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Yom HaShoa in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Wednesday, May 3 2006 10:51 Profile #72 Slarty: quote: This is true, but it's more than a little naive to suggest that any of those were realistic opportunities. Do you honestly think it's a good idea to rely on the good judgment of either (a) mobs of citizens who are desperate to escape from their hardships, or (b) politicians? IT is a fact that approximately 60 of Germany's highest ranking military officers came up with a credible plan to assassinate Hitler prior to the commencement of WWII. Some historians even gave the plan a reasonable chance of acheiving success, although there is doubt as to how committed the top generals were to the plan (it did have backing from Chamberlain though). I believe the plot is called the Osterman conspiracy or the Oster conspiracy. And yes, I answer yes to both of your questions (the reason for democracy). It is also true that Germany systematically went about defying the Allies, breaking the Treaty of Versailles and rearming, etc for several years and started a war without any real opposition. IT has been argued by some that the Allies were looking to the east as the real threat (Communisim) and were hoping that Germany and Russia would slit each others throats as they stood idly by. Note too that even after the war started, the western border was thinly defended and there was opportunity to invade from France, in support of Poland, but the allies stood by and watched Poland fall. This too was a realistic opportunity to stop Hitler, in the early stages of a war yes, but surely would have prevented many millions of deaths. [ Wednesday, May 03, 2006 10:55: Message edited by: Strontium ] -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Games in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Wednesday, May 3 2006 10:19 Profile #19 You could also try checking out abandonware on the net. These are computer games that have been abandoned (no longer commercially available for purchase). I believe one such site is the underdogs. I may even still have a link for htat site - but it may be PC games only. Also, some abandonware may not yet have lost its copyright so it may have legal issues. Edited comments. Found my link and tried it, still active. Contains abandonware downloads (technically illegal software, check the FAQ at the site), shareware and freeware links - it even has links to the official spidweb site for downloading Avernum, Geneforge. Given that abandonware is technically illegal I wont post a link, but if you read the FAQ the site distinguishes itself from warez software (morally acceptable?). And, for active software, such as spidweb, you cannot download from the site but instead are redirected to official sites. Jeff may wish to comment on such sites? [ Wednesday, May 03, 2006 10:28: Message edited by: Strontium ] -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Question 1: Energy in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Wednesday, May 3 2006 10:07 Profile #103 by I quote: I read a study once that areas with windmills as peaking actually cause more emissions from the nearby coal plant baseload had the coal plant provided all of it. This is because the plant has to operate at lower efficiencies and burn at lower temperatures meaning a dirtier burn. The analysis seemed sound, not sure how this applies in general. I do not have an original source for this material but here is a post-crisis analysis of California in the 1990's that illustrates the above point: http://www.energypulse.net/centers/article/article_print.cfm?a_id=758 by Kel: quote: Stareye, would you mind putting in a word or two about the cost-effectiveness of building nuclear plants? I read an article in the SF Chronicle once that claimed that, at present, it would be cheaper just to increase the efficiency of our car engines and light bulbs and all other energy-consuming devices (and thereby reduce consumption) than to go nuclear, but it provided no references or statistics to back this up. Do you know to what extent this is true? This is also an argument against electric cars. The cost (in terms of resources, esp. fossil fuels) to replace all fossil fuel cars with electric cars will actually consume more fossil fuel then continuing to use the same vehicles until they reach the end of their usable life. Of course, that doesn't mean NEW vehicles wouldn't be more efficient if they were electric and bought as the fossil fuel vehicles are retired naturally. If you look at the article posted above, it also states that if California had gone nuclear over renewable they would have saved 3 billion dollars. by I quote: That being said, we are going to need more baseload soon -- sooner, in fact, than nuclear plants could provide. Efficiency standards aren't going to penetrate the markets fast enough. My feeling is we're going to need to do both and more just to keep up with demand. I believe I read recently that Europe would require 69,000 MW of new power in the next 10? years. -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Music: a legitimate poll in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Wednesday, May 3 2006 09:45 Profile #24 quote: so if Fatman is attacking the use of those labels, he would do better to attack another one. I was not attacking anything, except perhaps to create another point of controversy between me and Slarty (heh heh). I was Questioning its inclusion and I later recanted and accepted its legitimacy in the poll. (although I refuse to apply that label to the stuff I listen to, out of spite) ;) -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Music: a legitimate poll in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Tuesday, May 2 2006 10:13 Profile #15 From my experience, those that listen to Xian music listen to similar material in the secular world, while those that listen to secular material rarely stray into xian forms. Ergo, it is a subculture rather musical. Whether this last statement is right or wrong (I looked at the poll musically) and rereading your poll I believe a proper interpretation of your poll coould (and obviously does) distinguish this as a separate category. I personally listen to several forms of Xian music, but checked off the categories I thought most clearly defined it for me (art rock, punk being two of them). -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Question 1: Energy in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Tuesday, May 2 2006 09:50 Profile #95 Yes, but if you read the article closely, the approximately 500,000 homes number comes from the author of the argument, 278,000 comes from those who wish to install the solar equipment (SCE), quoting from the article quote: “At a time of rising fossil-fuel costs and increased concern about greenhouse-gas emissions, the Stirling project would provide enough clean power to serve 278,000 homes for an entire year,” said SCE Chairman John Bryson. I would prefer the second number as being more realistic and it is valuable in that overstating the benefits of solar by 2 grossly exagerates its benefits. It may have been a roundoff, gross simplification of the number or other error, but if I compound the error and round off to the nearest million we now have the system powering a million homes. It is always best to quote the original source rather than an interpretation of it. With respect to solar/wind energy, I also made the argument that solar/wind energy does not replace fossil fuels but infact exacerbates the need, by requiring backup power to be installed and by causing that backup power to be a more inneficient form of production. This innefficiency is caused in part because of intermittent operation, which is ineefficent itself, and compounded by the inefficient nature of production, causing the selection of cheaper power plants which produce power less efficiently in the first place. Ie., if instead of investing in solar and backup power, you invested in highly efficient fossil power alone you ultimately consume less fossil fuel. [ Tuesday, May 02, 2006 09:58: Message edited by: Strontium ] -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Music: a legitimate poll in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Tuesday, May 2 2006 05:51 Profile #6 I would argue that Christian rock is not a style but represents a lyrical point of view. from what I understand there are christian versions of punk, metal, alt etc. So, the question on christian rock should really refer to what type of lyrics do you wish included in your favorite form of music or what do you wish the artisits practicing your favorite form of music to sing about. Or, do lyrics even matter to your enjoyment of that style? -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Question 1: Energy in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Tuesday, May 2 2006 05:28 Profile #93 by Procastinator: quote: Apparently, you have missed out on World's largest solar installation to use Stirling engine technology The 500MW planned amount to enough power to run approximately half a million homes. The article actually stated 278,000 homes, about half your stated capacity. Given the US presently consumes about 100 quadrillion BTU's of energy this is a drop in the bucket (something on the order of 0.15% of US energy needs (total) come from renewable sources). In addition, renewable energy has its own costs/needs. E.ON Netz, one of the world’s largest private energy providers (owns over 40% of Germany’s wind generating capacity) released a report titled "WIND REPORT 2004" stating that wind energy require "shadow stations" of traditional energy on back-up reserve in case the wind forecast is wrong. They state that reserve capacity needs to be 60% to 80% of the total wind capacity! This power comes from fossil fuels or nuclear. Germany doesn't have the capacity to shut down it's nuclear plants because it ensures that the wind plants have reserve. In fact, expanding wind generation will most likely cause an expansion of other forms of energy generation, to provide the necessary reserve capacity. Nuclear power has at least the ability to be reliable and secure in its ability to consistently generate energy. Here is an interesting article that states renewable power is dirty power. Because it introduces the need for cyclic power sources as backup and because cyclic power is more inefficient than constant power (for a number of reasons, seee the article) use of renewable power has resulted in an increase in the consumption of fossil fuels in California! http://www.energypulse.net/centers/article/article_print.cfm?a_id=758 [ Tuesday, May 02, 2006 10:18: Message edited by: Strontium ] -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Xylgham udwlnit skretcko!1!! in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Monday, May 1 2006 11:08 Profile #96 from the script: quote: Fatman rolls his eyes. :rolleyes: [ Monday, May 01, 2006 11:09: Message edited by: Strontium ] -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Yom HaShoa in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Monday, May 1 2006 07:40 Profile #70 quote: by Thuryl: Seems to me that saying "I had to follow orders" is just rationalisation, and the fact that everyone does it is no excuse. It wasn't an excuse and that is why "ordinary" Germans who committed hate crimes have been subject to international punishment. Unfortunately in law (in most jurisdictions) the failure to act is not legislated on (no crime for refusal to help) and even further, some countries have had to bring in "good samaritan" laws to protect those that act from being sued for acting and subsequently causing harm/failing to prevent further harm. quote: by Kel: That was my point: the Germans, after the Nazis took power, behaved as any normal human beings would (following orders because they had to). Therefore, the key is preventing anyone like Hitler from taking power again. Once Hitler is in charge, disaster is already inevitable (if not already in progress). Disaster was not inevitable. There were many opportunities for people to oppose Hitler both before and after he came to power. Hitler was neither elected nor did he use force to obtain power. He was asked by the governing conservative parties to assume Chancellorship, because they thought they could control him and his political inexperience would result in a short political future. After obtaining the chancellorship he used the political system to ban other political partiesand to pass hate laws, and this was only done with the cooperation of others as the Nazi party was a minority in government. He used intimidation and coercion to bully other organizations into putting people in charge who were Nazi suporters. He found support among the econmic elite as his rearmanent process pulled Germany (temporarily) out of the depression, provided jobs and profits. He methodically divided opposition, both within and without Germany, to consolidate power. This was over a period of 6 years. Opposition to Hitler came too little, too late - but there had been the opportunity before war. [ Monday, May 01, 2006 07:56: Message edited by: Strontium ] -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Your musical tastes in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Monday, May 1 2006 04:37 Profile #53 William Shatner singing the blues. Well, really anything sung by William Shatner (lLucy in the Sky with Diamonds ranks up there as best all time song). -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Xylgham udwlnit skretcko!1!! in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Friday, April 28 2006 05:41 Profile #73 Diki, why do I have to die? quote: Nonsense. Thuryl was the one person who never died. He only disappeared. But to make up for that, I'm retroactively killing BainIhrno and Fatman. It's not a fun experience. :( quote: The following people do NOT have an element according to Jewel's current Periodic Table of Elements chart. Obviously, if you don't have an element, you can't and won't be brought back. Which would be bad. Bringing me back would just lead me to having to die again and I didn't enjoy the process the first time around. ARRRGG. :mad: -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Yom HaShoa in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Friday, April 28 2006 05:30 Profile #55 I will not comment on darfur in this thread any longer. I willl respectfully limit my comments to holocaust issues. -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Question 1: Energy in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Friday, April 28 2006 04:31 Profile #78 I, I was interested in your perspective (without giving mine) on my source as he is an environmentalist and not a nuclear engineer. Personally, I belong to the philosophy that mineral resources are fundamentally different than fossil fuels. your quote: quote: For instance, Tantalum had about a ten year reserve according to a 1990 graph I saw. We have not run out of Tantalum and the price has not increased due of scarcity. The point is we found more. There's plenty of Tantalum, it's just that we have to continually find it because we care to look. I suspect uranium will be similar. can be replayed with aluminum, copper and other metals. In fact, the historical trend for all of these elements is for them to become cheaper with time, suggesting expanding reserves, more efficient use, more efficient extraction technology and the like. The "scarcity" for all of these minerals is likely being driven by the rate of return on investment for new sources. What was interesting to me was his limitation on use of alternative sources (eg seawater). I haven't read his source book (never heard of it till now) and am wondering if that statement, true in 1975?, still applies, that the energy return from extraction from low grade sources such as seawater is negative. [ Friday, April 28, 2006 04:33: Message edited by: Strontium ] -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687* \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Yom HaShoa in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Friday, April 28 2006 04:22 Profile #53 quote: Calling a spade a spade and standing up and be counted is an appropriate challenge for members of this forum. The standards for the president of the US are different and do not belong in this thread. Should have left the president out of this. The intention wasn't to be political. What was important to me was the fact that the US, at the strong urging of Bush, was the first nation to declare what was happening in Darfur genocide. To be clear, it was meant as support for someone who took action instead of standing idly by and standing idly by while crimes go on around us is an issue (it is what in part led to the holocaust). To be even more clear, I will stand beside a Jewish person any day and declare the holocaust as true history and as evil and despicable. -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
a4 is the best game yet in Avernum 4
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Thursday, April 27 2006 12:28 Profile #30 quote: alo quote: Well, yes, I thought the fact that I was being facetious in my expectation that he would be sorry that people liked his game was pretty much implied, but thank you for ruining the joke by explaining it. Oh, I really loved this one. My sarcasm is always misplaced on this board, so I thought I'd try ruining someone elses.... AND it slipped through!!!! -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
US and Sudan in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Thursday, April 27 2006 10:38 Profile #0 Sudan is an ugly spot right about now. What is your counrty doing about it and what are you doing to move your countries policies? Be like the US (hooray) and get it called genocide. Be like the (US) and work with an international community to pursue war crimes (see link) http://www.sudantribune.com/article.php3?id_article=15298 I have advocated with my government representatives for a political statement and to fund resources for peacekeeping. I would look for you to do the same. By small steps we as an international community can show brotherhood with those who are suffering. -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Xylgham udwlnit skretcko!1!! in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Thursday, April 27 2006 10:28 Profile #71 Quote: Diki quote: Nonsense. Thuryl was the one person who never died. He only disappeared. But to make up for that, I'm retroactively killing BainIhrno and Fatman. Um, I really didn't like dying. If getting resurrected means dying again I am most certainly not up for that unpleasant experience (although I suspect I have no control over it) -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Yom HaShoa in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Thursday, April 27 2006 10:03 Profile #46 The earth is flat and I defy ANYONE who can find evidence to prove that this is not so - their "evidence" will be wished away. Coming from a Mennonite background and having been run out of several countries I empathize with the Jews. Hitler was allowed to do what he did to the Jews in part because we (the rest of the world) didn't like the Jews either. Pogroms happened in many countries and noone wanted the Jews living in their own country. Racial hatred is a horrible, horrible thing and it is obvious that we are not learning our lessons (Sudan, Serbia are prime examples of the world not stepping/stepping in too late when racial hatred explodes into murderous rage). For all of us who do not like President Bush, he called a spade a spade on Sudan and stood up to be counted while the rest of the world debated - he called actions in Sudan genocide and pledged support because the UN wouldn't act. Anyone see Hotel Rwanda? [ Thursday, April 27, 2006 10:05: Message edited by: Strontium ] -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Question 1: Energy in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Thursday, April 27 2006 08:53 Profile #63 My original argument was based on the EC report of 2001 - detailing a life of 42 years for known reserves - which I didn't correct/allow for discovery of new reserves but also which doesn't take into account replacing fossil fuels with nuclear. Interesting, in a quick search of the internet came across this article http://www.fraw.org.uk/mobbsey/papers/oies_article.html and quoting from it "Even so, taking these two factors together alongside a six-fold increase in capacity, the lifetime of the known and estimated uranium resource would still be less than 50 years." The two factors were a four to eight fold exppansion of the industry and and the use of more efficient nuclear technology. He also cites a 1975 book that debunks use of sea water - as the energy used for extraction makes this a net negative energy source. He also quotes from an article estimating supply to be several thousand years, and then discredits it. So, it seems there may be credible science behind limited supply for uranium as well - although this is fundamentally a different material than fossil fuels (limited one time event vs. consistent presence in geology). Care to comment? -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
Question 1: Energy in General
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Thursday, April 27 2006 07:51 Profile #61 You missed my point. Reserves ARE important because they detail what is presently available to develop. In the short term there are significant predictions of shortages (2005 rport by the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada said that there was likely to be a 45,000-tonne shortage of uranium in the next decade) In 2001 the European Commission also predicted shortages and stated that no new sources were immediately available as mines take approximately 10 years to develop. This is not clamshells, uranium does not "suddenly" wash up on shore (SCi-fi perhaps?), it must be found, extracted and processed. the EC estimate of natural supply was 42 years, extended to 72 if military sources were included (based on 2001 rates of consumption). Note that decommissioning as a source extends supply only 30 years and IS finite. I am well aware that long term predictions of base metals shortages consistently prove false as mineral sources are (relatively) inexhaustable from a geologists point of view (coal and oil being exceptions). It is short term supply availability that is an issue. Nuclear Engineering International (2004) predicted short term supply shortages beyond 2010. Although, not to be all doom and gloom, it is possible that use of decommisioning sources MAY bridge the supply gap until new sources are developed, if work on developing those new sources happens fairly quickly. [ Thursday, April 27, 2006 08:03: Message edited by: Strontium ] -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00
a4 is the best game yet in Avernum 4
moonear Infiltrator Member # 5410	written Thursday, April 27 2006 05:09 Profile #22 quote: By Thuryl: You don't sound very sorry. Of course not. He's selling very well (or at least lets on so) and part of the factor feulling the direction he has taken is likely an expansion in sales. If you market a new product and it fails you don't keep advancing in that direction (from a commercial view) I like some of the stuff that Jeff's tried (not all) and am willing to keep trying as he is willing to experiment and grow too. It isn't all the same and that's gopod. -------------------- "Dikiyoba ... is demon ... drives people mad and ... do all sorts of strange things." "You Spiderwebbians are mad, mad, mad as March hares." Posts: 687 \| Registered: Wednesday, January 19 2005 08:00

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